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1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS |
1.1. | Focus of this report, primary trends, opportunities |
1.1.1. | Ten important trends |
1.1.2. | Value chain severely disrupted |
1.1.3. | Great improvements in traction motors with their controls are both needed and possible |
1.2. | Example of multiple REM per vehicle |
1.2.1. | Examples of manned electric aircraft in 2016/7 with multiple drive motors |
1.2.2. | The race for lightweight electric aircraft motors |
1.2.3. | Examples of trend to product integration |
1.3. | Powertrain focus |
1.4. | Motor-generator REM duty cycle, type, function |
1.5. | Motor-generator REM improvements needed, number of manufacturers/ developers |
1.6. | REM technology |
1.6.1. | Choices |
1.6.2. | Technology preference by type of vehicle |
1.7. | Market forecasts |
1.7.1. | Type of powertrain for 46 types of electric vehicle |
1.7.2. | In wheel motors vs near wheel motors |
1.7.3. | In-wheel motor global market for vehicles with four or more wheels units million 2017-2027 |
1.8. | Powertrain forecasts by 46 types of electric vehicle |
1.9. | Motor and powertrain forecasts by 46 types of electric vehicle |
1.10. | Market size 2017-2027for electric vehicles and 48V mild hybrid cars (non-EV and EV form) - Number (thousand) |
1.11. | Rapidly increasing market for powertrain REMs for electric vehicles |
1.12. | Voltage trends alter REM design |
1.13. | Permanent magnet price and investment trend |
1.13.1. | Neodymium price hikes |
1.13.2. | Hitachi Metals $172 million magnet investment by 2018 |
1.13.3. | New approach to motor inverters |
1.13.4. | Techrules of China |
1.13.5. | BMW EV motor patent 2017 |
1.13.6. | Alcraft three motor vehicle |
1.14. | Deutz acquires Torqeedo, September 2017 |
1.15. | GM patent electric traction motor, January 2018 |
2. | INTRODUCTION |
2.1. | Jargon buster |
2.1.1. | Innovation often first with large motors |
2.2. | Traction motor technology choices |
2.2.1. | Super efficient PM motor drives most economical EV |
2.2.2. | Siemens 260 kW electric aircraft motor makes first public flight July 2016 |
2.2.3. | Premium pure electric cars with PM motors in 2017 |
2.3. | Rotating electrical machines in powertrain |
2.3.1. | Needs by type of powertrain |
2.3.2. | Heart of a first generation 48V mild hybrid: BSG |
2.3.3. | Belt drive and integrated starter generators for 48V mild hybrids |
2.3.4. | Example of reversible rotating machine for 48V mild hybrid: Bosch "E-Machine" |
2.3.5. | REM technologies performance in powertrains: the show so far |
2.3.6. | Axial flux may increase its tiny market share? Axial Flux Traction Motor With 15% Advantage Taiwan |
2.3.7. | Toyota: Big Gains from Downsizing PM Motor for 2016-7 models |
2.4. | One business land, water, air - hybrid and pure electric |
2.5. | Trend to two or more REM per vehicle |
2.5.1. | Reasons |
2.5.2. | Innovative two motor formats: car, motorcycle |
2.5.3. | Xtrac's new EV transmission system features dual motors with torque vectoring |
2.5.4. | Efficiency gains of distributed drive |
2.5.5. | Two-motor mopeds and motorcycles |
2.5.6. | Performance motorcycle goes asynchronous |
2.6. | Trend to product integration |
2.6.1. | Strong hybrid cars |
2.6.2. | Volkswagen approach to device integration |
2.6.3. | Integration challenges of simulation of electric machines and inverters |
2.6.4. | 48V mild hybrid integrated starter generators |
2.6.5. | Two types of in-wheel motor |
2.6.6. | In-wheel motors by size of vehicle, with examples, benefits sought and challenges. |
2.6.7. | Example - Rinspeed Oasis with ZF in-wheel |
2.6.8. | So why are in-wheel motors always going to be successful next year? |
2.7. | Trend to high voltage, high speed motors in strong hybrids, pure electric vehicles |
2.8. | Flywheel KERS |
2.8.1. | Flybrid KERS used by Wrightbus UK on hybrid buses |
2.9. | Trend to vertical integration in supply chain |
2.10. | Motor Controls |
2.10.1. | Overview |
2.10.2. | . Cost and integration issues |
2.10.3. | New materials in switched reluctance EV motor |
2.11. | Example: How EVDrive selects and uses traction motors |
2.12. | Rectangular wire preferred |
3. | TRACTION MOTORS OFF-ROAD: CONSTRUCTION, AGRICULTURE, MINING, MILITARY, MARINE |
3.1. | Needs are different from on-road |
3.2. | Progression of electrification |
3.3. | Trend to electric drive and standardisation |
3.4. | Sizes of off-road vehicles with many traction motor opportunities |
3.5. | Wheel loaders with very different traction motor solutions |
3.5.1. | Huddig hybrid near wheel |
3.5.2. | Kramer 5055e asynchronous |
3.5.3. | LeTourneau switched reluctance |
3.6. | Agricultural tractor John Deere |
3.7. | Oerlikon SR motor in large hybrids |
3.8. | Planned PM synchronous heavy duty drive UQM, Eaton,Pi Innovo |
3.9. | Dana in-axle motor |
3.10. | Ship propulsion motors PM synchronous and asynchronous |
4. | 48V MILD HYBRID BSG, ISG: MAINLY CAR, LIGHT COMMERCIAL, TRUCK |
4.1. | Why 48V? |
4.2. | Where 48V mild hybrids fit in |
4.3. | Motivation |
4.4. | 48V mild hybrid system technology |
4.5. | Example CPT |
4.6. | Evolution from stop-start to multifunctional rotating machines |
4.7. | How to make a 48V mild hybrid in latest form for a car |
4.8. | Toolkit for 48V mild hybrid powertrains |
4.9. | The key components of the system options are mostly different |
4.10. | Not just cars! |
4.11. | Reversible rotating machine technology choices for 48V mild hybrids |
4.12. | How Continental sees the asynchronous option |
4.13. | Example of test beds for 48V REMs ADEPT project |
4.14. | Different views concerning dual 12V + 48V systems Views expressed in IDTechEx 2016 interviews and events |
4.15. | Best solutions for market needs 2016-2030: interviews |
4.16. | Modelling of 48V introduction: Volkswagen SUV data with IDTechEx comment Gen 1&2 |
4.17. | Modelling of 48V introduction using Volkswagen SUV data with IDTechEx comment Gen2&3 |
4.18. | Types of conventional and electric vehicle with those that have or will have many 48V systems shown in grey |
5. | ELECTRIC MOTORS, MOTOR-GENERATORS FOR STRONG HYBRIDS |
5.1. | Relative needs |
5.2. | Plug in option |
5.3. | Plug in hybrid potential in higher performance/ heavy vehicles |
5.4. | The Tesla approach to electric traction motors |
5.5. | Motor history to Tesla Model 3 |
5.6. | Comparisons |
5.7. | Interview |
5.8. | Different views on usefulness of parallel hybrids in future: Siemens, Ricardo |
5.9. | Siemens typical hybrid system components based on automotive standard TS 16949 |
5.10. | Ricardo view of long haul options |
5.11. | GKN advances in 2016 |
5.12. | GE Aviation and Hybrid Electronic Propulsion |
5.13. | Roundup |
6. | ELECTRIC MOTORS, MOTOR-GENERATORS FOR PURE ELECTRIC VEHICLES |
6.1. | The end game |
6.2. | Voltage trends for pure electric vehicles |
6.3. | Great variety |
6.3.1. | Nanoflowcell 48V premium cars |
6.4. | Pure electric cars and similar vehicles |
6.4.1. | Another Maverick: SynchR |
6.5. | UAVs and multicopters |
6.5.1. | REMs |
6.5.2. | Outrunner motors for manned aircraft |
6.5.3. | Drive electronics |
6.6. | Dyson robot vacuum cleaner |
6.7. | Energy Independent Vehicles EIV |
6.7.1. | Why we want more than mechanical energy independence |
6.7.2. | Energy Independent Vehicles: definition and function |
6.7.3. | The EIV powertrain for land vehicles |
6.7.4. | EIV operational choices |
6.7.5. | Do not forget wind |
6.7.6. | Key EIV technologies |
6.7.7. | Stella Lux passenger car Netherlands |
6.7.8. | Solar racer derivative: Immortus passenger car EIV Australia |
6.7.9. | POLYMODEL micro EV Italy |
6.7.10. | Lizard EIV wakes with the sun: NFH-H microbus China |
6.7.11. | Visedo PowerDRUM Finland |
7. | EXAMPLES OF INTERVIEWS 2016-2017 |
7.1. | Ongoing interviews by IDTechEx USA, East Asia, Europe |
7.2. | Interviews with Professor Pietro Perlo 26 April/16 Nov 2016 |
7.3. | Elaphe Slovenia |
7.4. | Protean Electric UK 24 November 2016 |
7.4.1. | Protean in March 2017 |
7.5. | ALABC/ILA London 12 Jan 2016 |
7.5.1. | ALABC/ILA London 12 Jan 2016 |
7.6. | MAHLE |
7.7. | Controlled Power Technologies |
8. | ANALYSIS OF 170 TRACTION MOTOR MANUFACTURERS |
Pages | 287 |
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Forecasts to | 2027 |